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League One 
Plymouth
14th / 24
15:00
vs
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Burton Albion
6th / 24
Clever Punts Match Preview
Plymouth vs Burton Albion: A Tight League One Encounter
Plymouth host Burton Albion in a League One fixture at Home Park. Both teams are looking to climb the table, with closely matched form and projections suggesting a competitive battle.
- Blended projections show an even contest with 1.50 goals expected for each side.
- Burton Albion have a stronger first-half performance record away from home.
- Both teams have averaged 1.50 goals in their recent venue-specific matches.
- The projected total goals of 3.00 is slightly below the league average of 3.17.
Plymouth's home form in their last two matches shows an average of 1.50 goals scored and conceded, with 14.50 shots per game. Burton Albion's away form in their last two matches also averages 1.50 goals scored and conceded, but they face significantly more shots against them (14.50) than they generate (6.50).
Our Verdict
This fixture is projected to be a closely contested affair with an even goal projection for both Plymouth and Burton Albion. Given the balanced statistics and historical head-to-head results, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome. League Positions
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Plymouth
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | 12.2 | 4.2 | 5.6 |
| 6 |
Burton Albion
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 8 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
Plymouth are slightly weaker at home (-1 places). Burton Albion struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Plymouth
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 3 | 14.5 | 3.5 | 6.5 |
| 5 |
Burton Albion
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 5 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
Plymouth are slightly weaker at home (-1 places). Burton Albion struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Plymouth
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 10.7 | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| 11 |
Burton Albion
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 3 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
Plymouth are slightly weaker at home (-1 places). Burton Albion struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
Weighted Form Analysis
Last 5: 50% · Last 10: 40% · Season: 10%
Plymouth (home)
Metric
Burton Albion (away)
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
14.50
Avg Shots
6.50
6.50
Avg Shots Against
14.50
3.50
Avg On Target
2.50
2.00
Avg OT Against
5.50
6.50
Avg Corners
1.50
4.50
Avg Corners Against
5.00
Blended Match Projections (attack × defence cross-blend)
Goals
3.0
League avg: 3.2
Shots
21.0
League avg: 24.8
Sot
6.8
League avg: 8.3
Corners
8.8
League avg: 9.8
Half-Time Splits
| W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth — home games (P 2) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 2nd Half | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2H – 1H | 0 | +1 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +1 |
| Burton Albion — away games (P 2) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 2nd Half | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 2H – 1H | -2 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +1 | -4 | -5 |
| W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth — all games (P 5) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 2nd Half | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 6 |
| 2H – 1H | -2 | +3 | -1 | +1 | 0 | +1 | -3 |
| Burton Albion — all games (P 5) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 2nd Half | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 6 |
| 2H – 1H | -2 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +1 | -3 | -5 |
Burton Albion tend to start away games strongly
Discipline
Plymouth (home)
Per Game
Burton Albion (away)
1.50
YC/game
3.00
0.00
RC/game
0.50
13.50
Fouls/game
18.00
Head to Head
Last 15 meetings
5
Plymouth wins
33%
4
Draws
27%
1
Burton Albion wins
7%
18
goals by Plymouth
1.73 goals/game
8
goals by Burton Albion
4 Jan 2026
Plymouth
3-0
Burton Albion
W
27 Sep 2025
Burton Albion
0-4
Plymouth
W
29 Apr 2023
Plymouth
1-0
Burton Albion
W
19 Nov 2022
Burton Albion
2-2
Plymouth
D
9 Apr 2022
Burton Albion
0-0
Plymouth
D
9 Oct 2021
Plymouth
2-1
Burton Albion
W
17 Apr 2021
Burton Albion
1-1
Plymouth
D
10 Oct 2020
Plymouth
2-0
Burton Albion
W
29 Dec 2018
Burton Albion
1-1
Plymouth
D
20 Oct 2018
Plymouth
2-3
Burton Albion
L
Squad News
Plymouth
No injuries reported
Burton Albion
No injuries reported
Clever Punts Predictions
Match Result
Draw
Projected goals are identical for both teams, and the head-to-head history shows a significant number of draws.
Total Goals
Over 2.5
The projected total goals of 3.00 is very close to the league average of 3.17.
Prediction Signals
Goals
NEUTRAL
3.0 / avg 3.2
BTTS
OVER
Corners
UNDER
8.8 / avg 9.8
Cards
OVER
4.5
Venue Strength
Plymouth
-1 places at home
Burton Albion
-5 places away
League Overview
Based on 60 matches this season
Goals/game
3.17
H 1.7
A 1.5
Shots/game
24.83
H 13.8
A 11.0
SOT/game
8.33
Corners/game
9.80
H 5.3
A 4.5
Results split
37% HW
30% D
33% AW
Under 2.5 goals
38%
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