⭐ Match Preview
Ligue 1
Estac Troyes
9th / 18
19:45
vs
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Marseille
11th / 18
Clever Punts Match Preview
Marseille visit Troyes in a tight Ligue 1 encounter
Estac Troyes host Marseille in a Ligue 1 fixture. Both teams have had mixed starts to the season, and this match presents an opportunity to gain crucial points.
- Marseille have a strong historical advantage in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Both teams have identical projected goals of 1.50, indicating a closely contested match.
- Estac Troyes have struggled at home, conceding an average of 3.00 goals in their last two home games.
- Marseille have failed to score in their only away game this season.
- The prediction signals suggest a neutral goal lean, with BTTS being unlikely.
Estac Troyes have averaged 1.00 goals and conceded 3.00 goals in their last two home matches. They have taken 17.00 shots per game at home but only managed 4.00 on target. Marseille's away form shows an average of 0.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in their single away game. They managed 13.00 shots with 3.00 on target away from home.
Our Verdict
Marseille are expected to secure a victory against Estac Troyes, leveraging their historical advantage and a slightly more favourable projection. While the match is anticipated to be competitive with both teams finding the net, Marseille's away win is the most probable outcome. League Positions
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Estac Troyes
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | 15.0 | 3.3 | 7.0 |
| 11 |
Marseille
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 3 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
Estac Troyes underperform at home (-3 places below overall). Marseille struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Estac Troyes
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
Estac Troyes underperform at home (-3 places below overall). Marseille struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Estac Troyes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| 16 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 |
Estac Troyes underperform at home (-3 places below overall). Marseille struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
Weighted Form Analysis
Last 5: 50% · Last 10: 40% · Season: 10%
Estac Troyes (home)
Metric
Marseille (away)
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
0.00
3.00
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
17.00
Avg Shots
13.00
13.50
Avg Shots Against
11.00
4.00
Avg On Target
3.00
6.00
Avg OT Against
5.00
8.00
Avg Corners
7.00
0.00
Avg Corners Against
5.00
Blended Match Projections (attack × defence cross-blend)
Goals
3.0
League avg: 3.1
Shots
27.3
League avg: 27.9
Sot
9.0
League avg: 9.7
Corners
10.0
League avg: 9.6
Half-Time Splits
| W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes — home games (P 2) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 2nd Half | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 2H – 1H | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -2 | 0 |
| Marseille — away games (P 1) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 2nd Half | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 2H – 1H | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes — all games (P 3) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 2nd Half | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| 2H – 1H | -1 | 0 | +1 | -2 | +3 | -5 | -3 |
| Marseille — all games (P 3) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 2nd Half | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 2H – 1H | +1 | 0 | -1 | +4 | -1 | +5 | +3 |
Discipline
Estac Troyes (home)
Per Game
Marseille (away)
1.00
YC/game
0.00
0.00
RC/game
—
5.00
Fouls/game
10.00
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
1
Estac Troyes wins
10%
2
Draws
20%
7
Marseille wins
70%
8
goals by Estac Troyes
3.00 goals/game
22
goals by Marseille
16 Apr 2023
Marseille
3-1
Estac Troyes
L
11 Jan 2023
Estac Troyes
0-2
Marseille
L
27 Feb 2022
Estac Troyes
1-1
Marseille
D
28 Nov 2021
Marseille
1-0
Estac Troyes
L
15 Apr 2018
Estac Troyes
2-3
Marseille
L
20 Dec 2017
Marseille
3-1
Estac Troyes
L
14 May 2016
Estac Troyes
1-1
Marseille
D
23 Aug 2015
Marseille
6-0
Estac Troyes
L
3 Mar 2013
Marseille
2-1
Estac Troyes
L
21 Oct 2012
Estac Troyes
1-0
Marseille
W
Squad News
Estac Troyes
No injuries reported
Marseille
No injuries reported
Clever Punts Predictions
Match Result
Away Win
Marseille's strong historical dominance and slightly better offensive projection lean towards an away victory.
Total Goals
Over 2.5
The projected total of 3.00 goals aligns with the league average and suggests an open game.
Prediction Signals
Goals
NEUTRAL
3.0 / avg 3.1
BTTS
UNDER
Corners
NEUTRAL
10.0 / avg 9.6
Cards
UNDER
1.0
Venue Strength
Estac Troyes
-3 places at home
Marseille
-5 places away
League Overview
Based on 27 matches this season
Goals/game
3.11
H 1.5
A 1.6
Shots/game
27.85
H 15.9
A 12.0
SOT/game
9.70
Corners/game
9.56
H 5.4
A 4.2
Results split
26% HW
30% D
44% AW
Under 2.5 goals
37%