⭐ Match Preview
Ligue 1
Estac Troyes
9th / 18
19:45
vs
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Marseille
11th / 18
Data quality
Clever Punts AI
Clever Punts Match Preview
Marseille visit Troyes in a tight Ligue 1 encounter
Estac Troyes host Marseille in a Ligue 1 fixture. Both teams have had mixed starts to the season, and this match presents an opportunity to gain crucial points.
  • Marseille have a strong historical advantage in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Both teams have identical projected goals of 1.50, indicating a closely contested match.
  • Estac Troyes have struggled at home, conceding an average of 3.00 goals in their last two home games.
  • Marseille have failed to score in their only away game this season.
  • The prediction signals suggest a neutral goal lean, with BTTS being unlikely.

Estac Troyes have averaged 1.00 goals and conceded 3.00 goals in their last two home matches. They have taken 17.00 shots per game at home but only managed 4.00 on target. Marseille's away form shows an average of 0.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in their single away game. They managed 13.00 shots with 3.00 on target away from home.

Our Verdict
Marseille are expected to secure a victory against Estac Troyes, leveraging their historical advantage and a slightly more favourable projection. While the match is anticipated to be competitive with both teams finding the net, Marseille's away win is the most probable outcome.
League Positions
#TeamPWDL GFGAGDPts Avg ShAvg SOTAvg CRN
9
Estac Troyes
3 1 1 1 4 7 -3 4 15.0 3.3 7.0
11
Marseille
3 1 0 2 6 5 +1 3 13.3 5.0 5.0
Estac Troyes underperform at home (-3 places below overall). Marseille struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
#TeamPWDL GFGAGDPts Avg ShAvg SOTAvg CRN
12
Estac Troyes
2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1 17.0 4.0 8.0
3
Marseille
2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3 13.5 6.0 4.0
Estac Troyes underperform at home (-3 places below overall). Marseille struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
#TeamPWDL GFGAGDPts Avg ShAvg SOTAvg CRN
8
Estac Troyes
1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3 11.0 2.0 5.0
16
Marseille
1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0 13.0 3.0 7.0
Estac Troyes underperform at home (-3 places below overall). Marseille struggle on the road (-5 places below overall)
Weighted Form Analysis Last 5: 50% · Last 10: 40% · Season: 10%
Estac Troyes (home)
Metric
Marseille (away)
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
0.00
3.00
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
17.00
Avg Shots
13.00
13.50
Avg Shots Against
11.00
4.00
Avg On Target
3.00
6.00
Avg OT Against
5.00
8.00
Avg Corners
7.00
0.00
Avg Corners Against
5.00
Blended Match Projections (attack × defence cross-blend)
Goals
3.0
League avg: 3.1
Shots
27.3
League avg: 27.9
Sot
9.0
League avg: 9.7
Corners
10.0
League avg: 9.6
Estac Troyes xG: 1.50 Marseille xG: 1.50
Half-Time Splits
W D L GF GA GD Pts
Estac Troyes — home games (P 2)
1st Half01112-11
2nd Half01114-31
2H – 1H0000+2-20
Marseille — away games (P 1)
1st Half00101-10
2nd Half00101-10
2H – 1H0000000
W D L GF GA GD Pts
Estac Troyes — all games (P 3)
1st Half11132+14
2nd Half01215-41
2H – 1H-10+1-2+3-5-3
Marseille — all games (P 3)
1st Half01213-21
2nd Half11152+34
2H – 1H+10-1+4-1+5+3
Discipline
Estac Troyes (home)
Per Game
Marseille (away)
1.00
YC/game
0.00
0.00
RC/game
5.00
Fouls/game
10.00
Head to Head Last 10 meetings
1
Estac Troyes wins
10%
2
Draws
20%
7
Marseille wins
70%
8 goals by Estac Troyes 3.00 goals/game 22 goals by Marseille
16 Apr 2023 Stade Orange Vélodrome
Marseille 3-1 Estac Troyes L
11 Jan 2023 Stade de l'Aube
Estac Troyes 0-2 Marseille L
27 Feb 2022 Stade de l'Aube
Estac Troyes 1-1 Marseille D
28 Nov 2021 Orange Vélodrome
Marseille 1-0 Estac Troyes L
15 Apr 2018 Stade de l'Aube
Estac Troyes 2-3 Marseille L
20 Dec 2017 Orange Vélodrome
Marseille 3-1 Estac Troyes L
14 May 2016 Stade de l'Aube
Estac Troyes 1-1 Marseille D
23 Aug 2015 Orange Vélodrome
Marseille 6-0 Estac Troyes L
3 Mar 2013 Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)
Marseille 2-1 Estac Troyes L
21 Oct 2012 Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)
Estac Troyes 1-0 Marseille W
Squad News
Estac Troyes
No injuries reported
Marseille
No injuries reported
Clever Punts Predictions
Match Result
Away Win
Marseille's strong historical dominance and slightly better offensive projection lean towards an away victory.
Medium
Total Goals
Over 2.5
The projected total of 3.00 goals aligns with the league average and suggests an open game.
Medium
Full predictions for Punters only
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Prediction Signals
Goals NEUTRAL 3.0 / avg 3.1
BTTS UNDER
Corners NEUTRAL 10.0 / avg 9.6
Cards UNDER 1.0
Venue Strength
Estac Troyes -3 places at home
Marseille -5 places away
League Overview
Based on 27 matches this season
Goals/game
3.11
H 1.5 A 1.6
Shots/game
27.85
H 15.9 A 12.0
SOT/game
9.70
Corners/game
9.56
H 5.4 A 4.2
Results split
26% HW 30% D 44% AW
Under 2.5 goals 37%