Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04 – Match Preview | Clever Punts | Clever Punts

⭐ Match Preview

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

11th / 18

14:30

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FC Schalke 04

16th / 18

Data quality

Clever Punts Match Preview

Schalke Look to Upset Hamburger SV in Tight Bundesliga Clash

Hamburger SV hosts FC Schalke 04 in a Bundesliga fixture that pits two sides with contrasting league positions against each other. Both teams will be looking to secure vital points as the season progresses.

FC Schalke 04 have a stronger away league position (6th) than Hamburger SV's home position (12th).
FC Schalke 04 are projected to score slightly more goals (1.50) than Hamburger SV (1.25).
The projected total goals of 2.75 lean towards Under 2.5 when compared to the league average of 3.56.
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in their respective home and away fixtures.

Hamburger SV's home form shows an average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across their last three home matches. FC Schalke 04, on the other hand, average 1.00 goal scored and 1.50 conceded in their last four away games. This suggests a potentially close encounter, with both teams capable of finding the net.

Our Verdict

FC Schalke 04 are favoured to secure an away win against Hamburger SV, driven by their stronger performance on the road and slightly better projected goal output. The match is anticipated to be a tight affair with a lean towards fewer than 2.5 goals.

League Positions

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg Sh	Avg SOT	Avg CRN
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6	16	-10	9	10.7	3.3	3.7
16	FC Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	4	7	-3	6	10.0	3.1	3.3

Hamburger SV are slightly weaker at home (-1 places). FC Schalke 04 are strong travellers (+10 places in away table)

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg Sh	Avg SOT	Avg CRN
12	Hamburger SV	3	2	0	1	3	6	-3	6	11.3	3.7	4.0
16	FC Schalke 04	3	0	2	1	0	1	-1	2	8.7	1.7	2.7

Hamburger SV are slightly weaker at home (-1 places). FC Schalke 04 are strong travellers (+10 places in away table)

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg Sh	Avg SOT	Avg CRN
13	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	3	10	-7	3	10.3	3.0	3.5
6	FC Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	4	6	-2	4	11.0	4.3	3.8

Hamburger SV are slightly weaker at home (-1 places). FC Schalke 04 are strong travellers (+10 places in away table)

Weighted Form Analysis Last 5: 50% · Last 10: 40% · Season: 10%

Hamburger SV (home)

Metric

FC Schalke 04 (away)

1.00

Avg Goals Scored

1.00

2.00

Avg Goals Conceded

1.50

11.33

Avg Shots

11.00

19.67

Avg Shots Against

17.00

3.67

Avg On Target

4.25

6.00

Avg OT Against

7.50

4.00

Avg Corners

3.75

6.33

Avg Corners Against

7.00

Blended Match Projections (attack × defence cross-blend)

Goals

2.8

League avg: 3.6

Shots

29.5

League avg: 30.7

Sot

10.7

League avg: 10.8

Corners

10.5

League avg: 10.7

Hamburger SV xG: 1.25 FC Schalke 04 xG: 1.50

Half-Time Splits

	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
Hamburger SV — home games (P 3)
1st Half	1	1	1	1	2	-1	4
2nd Half	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
2H – 1H	0	0	0	+1	+2	-1	0
FC Schalke 04 — away games (P 4)
1st Half	1	2	1	2	2	+0	5
2nd Half	1	1	2	2	4	-2	4
2H – 1H	0	-1	+1	0	+2	-2	-1

	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
Hamburger SV — all games (P 7)
1st Half	1	3	3	2	7	-5	6
2nd Half	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
2H – 1H	+1	-1	0	+2	+2	0	+2
FC Schalke 04 — all games (P 7)
1st Half	1	4	2	2	3	-1	7
2nd Half	1	4	2	2	4	-2	7
2H – 1H	0	0	0	0	+1	-1	0

Discipline

Hamburger SV (home)

Per Game

FC Schalke 04 (away)

1.67

YC/game

1.25

0.00

RC/game

0.25

12.67

Fouls/game

10.25

Head to Head Last 15 meetings

Hamburger SV wins

33%

Draws

27%

FC Schalke 04 wins

21 goals by Hamburger SV 2.40 goals/game 15 goals by FC Schalke 04

19 Apr 2025 VELTINS-Arena

FC Schalke 04 2-2 Hamburger SV D

23 Nov 2024 Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV 2-2 FC Schalke 04 D

20 Jan 2024 Arena AufSchalke

FC Schalke 04 0-2 Hamburger SV W

28 Jul 2023 Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV 5-3 FC Schalke 04 W

18 Dec 2021 Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV 1-1 FC Schalke 04 D

23 Jul 2021 VELTINS-Arena

FC Schalke 04 1-3 Hamburger SV W

7 Apr 2018 Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV 3-2 FC Schalke 04 W

19 Nov 2017 VELTINS-Arena

FC Schalke 04 2-0 Hamburger SV L

13 May 2017 VELTINS-Arena

FC Schalke 04 1-1 Hamburger SV D

20 Dec 2016 Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV 2-1 FC Schalke 04 W

Squad News

Hamburger SV

No injuries reported

FC Schalke 04

No injuries reported

Clever Punts Predictions

Match Result

Away Win

FC Schalke 04's stronger away form and slightly higher projected goals give them an edge.

Medium

Total Goals

Under 2.5

The projected total goals of 2.75 are below the league average of 3.56.

Medium

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Prediction Signals

Goals UNDER 2.8 / avg 3.6

BTTS OVER

Corners NEUTRAL 10.5 / avg 10.7

Cards UNDER 2.9

Venue Strength

Hamburger SV -1 places at home

FC Schalke 04 +10 places away

League Overview

Based on 63 matches this season

Goals/game

3.56

H 2.2 A 1.4

Shots/game

30.71

H 16.8 A 13.9

SOT/game

10.76

Corners/game

10.68

H 6.0 A 4.7

Results split

51% HW 21% D 29% AW

Under 2.5 goals 29%