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Bad day for the bookies? Races: 47

Monday, 12th October 2026

It's a bad day
for the fav backer
It's a good day
for Bert the bookie
Favourites
Winners 15 / 47
Win rate 31.9%
Avg fav SP 9/4
Average winner SP
Fractional 8/1
Decimal 8.81
Implied chance 25.6%
What does this mean?

These stats cover all declared GB & IRE races for the selected day. The favourite win rate is compared against the average implied probability derived from starting prices.

  • Fav win rate: 31.9%
  • Avg implied chance: 35.2%
  • When win rate > implied chance, favourites overperformed the market.
GB + IRE
47
Races Bet
15
Winners
32%
Strike Rate
£-8.46
Net P&L (£1)
Cumulative P&L — £1 on each Favourite Mon 12th Oct 2026
Results — Mon 12th Oct 2026
TimeCourseWinnerSPFavouriteBet P&LRunning Total
1:30Roscommon (IRE)
State Of Wyoming (IRE)
W. J. Lee / P. Twomey
7/4F
State Of Wyoming (IRE)
Won		+£1.75+£1.75
1:37Worcester
Noble Recall (GB)
Isabelle Ryder / Anthony Day
6/1
Onehundredneighty (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£0.75
1:47Musselburgh
Ibn Altheeb (IRE)
Mr James Hills / Iain Jardine
18/1
Motawaared (GB)
Lost		£1.00£0.25
1:54Yarmouth
Born This Way (IRE)
Tom Marquand / William Haggas
11/8F
Born This Way (IRE)
Won		+£1.38+£1.13
2:00Roscommon (IRE)
Contrary To Law (IRE)
Ben Coen / J. P. Murtagh
7/2F
Contrary To Law (IRE)
Won		+£3.50+£4.63
2:07Worcester
Billy Boi Blue (GB)
Kielan Woods / David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
4/1
Sonyourastar (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£3.63
2:17Musselburgh
Vegasmile (IRE)
Sam James / K. R. Burke
1/4F
Vegasmile (IRE)
Won		+£0.25+£3.88
2:24Yarmouth
Quintillion (GB)
Callum Shepherd / Charlie Johnston
7/2
Deira Moon (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£2.88
2:30Roscommon (IRE)
Zarenakarena (IRE)
Colin Keane / Eddie & Patrick Harty
16/1
Monocle Rocket (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£1.88
2:37Worcester
Away For The Night (IRE)
Bryan Carver / Alex Hales
15/8F
Away For The Night (IRE)
Won		+£1.88+£3.76
2:47Musselburgh
Donna Beauty (IRE)
Ryan Sexton / Charlie Johnston
13/8F
Donna Beauty (IRE)
Won		+£1.62+£5.38
2:54Yarmouth
Calchas (GB)
Rhys Clutterbuck / Ralph Beckett
12/1
Yokohama (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£4.38
3:00Roscommon (IRE)
Cisterna (IRE)
Jimmy Dalton / A. Slattery
8/1
Big Bill (FR)
Lost		£1.00+£3.38
3:07Worcester
Potters Charm (IRE)
Sam Twiston-Davies / Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
1/5F
Potters Charm (IRE)
Won		+£0.20+£3.58
3:17Musselburgh
Fear And Fast (GB)
Sam James / Jim Goldie
17/2
Never Dark (GB) J
Lost		£1.00+£2.58
3:24Yarmouth
Sullom Voe (IRE)
Jack Dace / David Menuisier
33/1
Darkest Red (GB)
Lost		£1.00+£1.58
3:30Roscommon (IRE)
Teoest (IRE)
Colin Keane / J S Bolger
7/4
Big Cypress (GB)
Lost		£1.00+£0.58
3:37Worcester
Mighty Fleur (GB)
Sean Bowen / Mickey Bowen
6/4F
Mighty Fleur (GB)
Won		+£1.50+£2.08
3:47Musselburgh
Ice Sovereigns (IRE)
Shane Gray / Richard & Peter Fahey
12/1
Dandy Magic (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£1.08
3:54Yarmouth
Sunlit Sea (GB)
Jack Gilligan / Sir Mark Prescott Bt
13/2
Zoustar Dreams (GB)
Lost		£1.00+£0.08
4:00Roscommon (IRE)
Ryefield Dasher (IRE)
Nicola Burns / Thomas Gibney
3/1
Back Straight (GB) J
Lost		£1.00£0.92
4:07Worcester
Kykorock (FR)
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
3/1
Siam Park (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£1.92
4:12Kempton (AW)
Showcasing Glory (IRE)
Billy Loughnane / Charlie Johnston
9/4F
Showcasing Glory (IRE)
Won		+£2.25+£0.33
4:17Musselburgh
Jkr Cobbler (IRE)
Jack Nicholls / Iain Jardine
13/2
Kelpie Grey (GB)
Lost		£1.00£0.67
4:24Yarmouth
Izzy Fast (GB)
Jack Callan / Philip McBride
11/1
Methgal (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£1.67
4:28Newcastle (AW)
Tropbien (GB)
Saffie Osborne / John & Thady Gosden
6/4
Indhaar (GB)
Lost		£1.00£2.67
4:30Roscommon (IRE)
Pillar Of Hope (GB)
Patrick McGettigan / P Sweeney
11/2
Lauderdale King (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£3.67
4:37Worcester
Big Cadillac (IRE)
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
9/4F
Big Cadillac (IRE)
Won		+£2.25£1.42
4:45Kempton (AW)
Twilight Fox (GB)
Nicola Currie / Henry Candy
100/1
Tredegar Square (GB)
Lost		£1.00£2.42
4:50Musselburgh
Storm On Jura (GB)
Lauren Young / Jim Goldie
5/1
Ned Broy (IRE) J
Lost		£1.00£3.42
4:55Yarmouth
Potters Prince (GB)
Callum Shepherd / Matt Crawley
5/2F
Potters Prince (GB)
Won		+£2.50£0.92
5:00Newcastle (AW)
Carmel Valley (IRE)
Jason Hart / Katie Scott
22/1
Maria Da Silva (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£1.92
5:07Roscommon (IRE)
Inver Bay (IRE)
Robbie Colgan / Aidan Anthony Howard
11/2
Ballaghkeen (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£2.92
5:15Kempton (AW)
One Of The Boys (IRE)
Hector Crouch / Michael Bell
4/1
Ravishing (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£3.92
5:30Newcastle (AW)
Moofeed (IRE)
Daniel Tudhope / Archie Watson
11/8
Great Balls O'Fire (GB)
Lost		£1.00£4.92
5:45Kempton (AW)
Wadooda (GB)
Callum Rodriguez / Owen Burrows
8/13F
Wadooda (GB)
Won		+£0.62£4.30
6:00Newcastle (AW)
Siouxperb (GB)
Connor Beasley / Archie Watson
11/4F
Siouxperb (GB)
Won		+£2.75£1.55
6:15Kempton (AW)
Rhythm Of My Heart (GB)
Hector Crouch / David Menuisier
2/11F
Rhythm Of My Heart (GB)
Won		+£0.18£1.37
6:30Newcastle (AW)
Juan Les Pins (GB)
Mason Paetel / Michael Appleby
15/2
Kinnalargy (GB)
Lost		£1.00£2.37
6:45Kempton (AW)
Organ (GB)
Callum Rodriguez / Owen Burrows
9/2
Aqpan (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£3.37
7:00Newcastle (AW)
Acclaimed Freedom (GB)
David Egan / George Scott
11/2
Great (GB)
Lost		£1.00£4.37
7:15Kempton (AW)
That Darn Cantor (GB)
Rossa Ryan / Ed Dunlop
9/2
Floating Market (GB)
Lost		£1.00£5.37
7:30Newcastle (AW)
Boubyan (IRE)
Kevin Stott / Michael Appleby
10/1
Ice Show (GB)
Lost		£1.00£6.37
7:45Kempton (AW)
Niffler (GER)
Luke Morris / Sir Mark Prescott Bt
10/11F
Niffler (GER)
Won		+£0.91£5.46
8:00Newcastle (AW)
Intrusively (GB)
Kevin Stott / Michael Appleby
5/1
Atmosphere (GB)
Lost		£1.00£6.46
8:15Kempton (AW)
Silky Robin (IRE)
Oisin Murphy / Brian Toomey
7/2
Rory's Royale (GB) J
Lost		£1.00£7.46
8:30Newcastle (AW)
Woolridge (GB)
Saffie Osborne / Scott Dixon
11/2
Mount Ruapehu (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£8.46
Back the:
Cumulative P&L — £1 on 2nd Favourite Mon 12th Oct 2026
2nd Favourite — Mon 12th Oct 2026