Bad day for the bookies? Races: 27

Saturday, 16th May 2026

It's a good day
for the fav backer
It's a bad day
for Bert the bookie
Favourites
Winners 9 / 27
Win rate 33.3%
Avg fav SP 5/2
Average winner SP
Fractional 17/2
Decimal 9.65
Implied chance 20.6%
What does this mean?

These stats cover all declared GB & IRE races for the selected day. The favourite win rate is compared against the average implied probability derived from starting prices.

  • Fav win rate: 33.3%
  • Avg implied chance: 32%
  • When win rate > implied chance, favourites overperformed the market.
GB + IRE
27
Races Bet
9
Winners
33%
Strike Rate
+£1.29
Net P&L (£1)
Cumulative P&L — £1 on each Favourite Sat 16th May 2026
Results — Sat 16th May 2026
TimeCourseWinnerSPFavouriteBet P&LRunning Total
1:12Navan (IRE)
Barrow Boy (IRE)
Gary Carroll / Gavin Cromwell
5/4F
Barrow Boy (IRE)
Won		+£1.25+£1.25
1:25Newbury
Kalpana (GB)
Colin Keane / Andrew Balding
11/10F
Kalpana (GB)
Won		+£1.10+£2.35
1:30Wexford (IRE)
Dromana Mist (IRE)
Dylan Whelan / Patrick John Kiely
17/2
Scathach (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£1.35
1:42Newmarket
Sterling Knight (GB)
Cieren Fallon / Ed Dunlop
6/1
Twisting Physics (GB)
Lost		£1.00+£0.35
1:47Navan (IRE)
Baggot Street (IRE)
Rory Mulligan / John S O'Donoghue
33/1
Happy Henry (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£0.65
1:52Thirsk
Dee's Funny Girl (IRE)
Jason Hart / Michael Keady
16/1
Cailin Aine (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£1.65
2:00Newbury
Esna (IRE)
Ryan Moore / Brian Meehan
13/2
Golden Orbit (GB)
Lost		£1.00£2.65
2:05Wexford (IRE)
Morell River (IRE)
Sean O'Keeffe / Colin Bowe
7/1
Two Pair (IRE) J
Lost		£1.00£3.65
2:10Bangor-on-Dee
Saint Jeannais (FR)
Tom Broughton / Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
6/5
Mr Mojo Risin (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£4.65
2:15Newmarket
Jolivette (GB)
David Probert / Andrew Balding
2/1F
Jolivette (GB)
Won		+£2.00£2.65
2:20Navan (IRE)
Matriarchal (IRE)
Andrew Slattery / Josh Halley
14/1
Big Negotiator (GB)
Lost		£1.00£3.65
2:23Thirsk
Kodi Bear Light (IRE)
Jack Nicholls / K R Burke
8/11F
Kodi Bear Light (IRE)
Won		+£0.73£2.92
2:35Newbury
Notable Speech (GB)
William Buick / Charlie Appleby
2/1F
Notable Speech (GB)
Won		+£2.00£0.92
2:40Wexford (IRE)
Mo Ghille Mar (IRE)
G B Noonan / John Joseph Hanlon
22/1
Pleasureofpressure (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£1.92
2:45Bangor-on-Dee
Dream's Ka (FR)
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
5/2F
Dream's Ka (FR)
Won		+£2.50+£0.58
2:50Newmarket
Superposition (GB)
Jack Callan / Ed Dunlop
20/1
Silver Ghost (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£0.42
2:55Navan (IRE)
Namiid (IRE)
Ben Coen / J P Murtagh
15/8F
Namiid (IRE)
Won		+£1.88+£1.46
3:00Thirsk
Caraway (GB)
Darragh Keenan / William Haggas
13/2
Faeberon (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£0.46
3:10Newbury
Song Of The Clyde (GB)
Hector Crouch / Clive Cox
18/1
Albert Einstein (IRE)
Lost		£1.00£0.54
3:15Wexford (IRE)
Gamigin (IRE)
Mr O McGill / Noel C Kelly
9/2F
Gamigin (IRE)
Won		+£4.50+£3.96
3:20Bangor-on-Dee
Roysse (GB)
Beau Morgan / Ben Pauling
33/1
Fasol (GB)
Lost		£1.00+£2.96
3:27Newmarket
Expert Agent (GB)
Marco Ghiani / Stuart Williams
4/1
Sixtygeesbaby (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£1.96
3:32Navan (IRE)
Howd'yadoit (IRE)
Gary Carroll / G M Lyons
3/1
Midnight Dusk (GB)
Lost		£1.00+£0.96
3:37Thirsk
Right And Exact (GB)
Daniel Tudhope / Declan Carroll
6/1
Pixie Diva (GB)
Lost		£1.00£0.04
3:45Newbury
Lost Boys (IRE)
Jason Watson / David Menuisier
100/30F
Lost Boys (IRE)
Won		+£3.33+£3.29
3:50Wexford (IRE)
Teenage Kiss (IRE)
Charlie O'Dwyer / Conor O'Dwyer
5/1
Jackmoon (FR)
Lost		£1.00+£2.29
3:55Bangor-on-Dee
Grain d'Oudairies (FR)
Harry Cobden / Donald McCain
9/2
Personal Ambition (IRE)
Lost		£1.00+£1.29
Back the:
Cumulative P&L — £1 on 2nd Favourite Sat 16th May 2026
2nd Favourite — Sat 16th May 2026