⭐ Match Preview
UEFA Nations League 
Germany
23rd / 54
19:45
vs
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Netherlands
7th / 54
Clever Punts Match Preview
Germany and Netherlands Set for Tight Nations League Encounter
Germany host the Netherlands in a UEFA Nations League fixture that promises to be a closely contested affair. Both nations will be looking to secure vital points in this competitive group.
- Projected goals are evenly matched at 1.25 for both Germany and Netherlands.
- Both teams have demonstrated a capability to score, with BTTS predicted as likely.
- The fixture is projected to have a total of 2.50 goals, aligning closely with the league average.
- Corners are leaning towards an Over 9.5 outcome based on projected totals.
Germany's home form shows an average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded over their last two matches. They have also been dominant in terms of corners, averaging 10.00 per game at home. Netherlands' away form is more potent offensively, averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded. However, their defence appears more porous away from home, conceding an average of 9.50 shots against.
Our Verdict
This fixture is expected to be a tight affair with both Germany and the Netherlands projected to score an equal number of goals. Given the balanced projections and the historical head-to-head record, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome. The match is also anticipated to feature goals from both sides and a slightly higher than average number of corners. League Positions
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 |
Germany
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19.8 | 4.8 | 6.0 |
| 7 |
Netherlands
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 8 | 22.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
Germany are slightly weaker at home (-2 places). Netherlands struggle on the road (-7 places below overall)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 |
Germany
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24.0 | 6.5 | 10.0 |
| 14 |
Netherlands
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 |
Germany are slightly weaker at home (-2 places). Netherlands struggle on the road (-7 places below overall)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg Sh | Avg SOT | Avg CRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 |
Germany
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 2 | 15.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| 14 |
Netherlands
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
Germany are slightly weaker at home (-2 places). Netherlands struggle on the road (-7 places below overall)
Weighted Form Analysis
Last 5: 50% · Last 10: 40% · Season: 10%
Germany (home)
Metric
Netherlands (away)
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
24.00
Avg Shots
22.00
4.50
Avg Shots Against
9.50
6.50
Avg On Target
6.50
1.00
Avg OT Against
5.00
10.00
Avg Corners
6.00
1.50
Avg Corners Against
4.50
Blended Match Projections (attack × defence cross-blend)
Goals
2.5
League avg: 2.5
Shots
30.0
League avg: 25.9
Sot
9.5
League avg: 8.5
Corners
11.0
League avg: 8.6
Half-Time Splits
| W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany — home games (P 2) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 2nd Half | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 2H – 1H | 0 | -1 | +1 | 0 | +1 | -1 | -1 |
| Netherlands — away games (P 2) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 2nd Half | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 2H – 1H | 0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +1 |
| W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany — all games (P 4) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2nd Half | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 2H – 1H | -1 | -1 | +2 | -1 | +2 | -3 | -4 |
| Netherlands — all games (P 4) | |||||||
| 1st Half | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 2nd Half | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 2H – 1H | +2 | 0 | -2 | +3 | -3 | +6 | +6 |
Discipline
Germany (home)
Per Game
Netherlands (away)
0.50
YC/game
1.00
0.00
RC/game
0.00
11.00
Fouls/game
8.50
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
4
Germany wins
40%
4
Draws
40%
2
Netherlands wins
20%
16
goals by Germany
3.30 goals/game
17
goals by Netherlands
24 Sep 2026
Netherlands
1-1
Germany
D
14 Oct 2024
Germany
1-0
Netherlands
W
10 Sep 2024
Netherlands
2-2
Germany
D
26 Mar 2024
Germany
2-1
Netherlands
W
29 Mar 2022
Netherlands
1-1
Germany
D
6 Sep 2019
Germany
2-4
Netherlands
L
24 Mar 2019
Netherlands
2-3
Germany
W
19 Nov 2018
Germany
2-2
Netherlands
D
13 Oct 2018
Netherlands
3-0
Germany
L
13 Jun 2012
Netherlands
1-2
Germany
W
Squad News
Germany
No injuries reported
Netherlands
No injuries reported
Clever Punts Predictions
Match Result
Draw
The blended projections show identical expected goals for both teams, and the head-to-head record indicates a high propensity for draws.
Total Goals
Over 2.5
The projected total of 2.50 goals is very close to the league average, with a slight lean towards over.
Prediction Signals
Goals
NEUTRAL
2.5 / avg 2.5
BTTS
OVER
Corners
OVER
11.0 / avg 8.6
Cards
UNDER
1.5
Venue Strength
Germany
-2 places at home
Netherlands
-7 places away
League Overview
Based on 104 matches this season
Goals/game
2.46
H 1.2
A 1.2
Shots/game
25.92
H 13.8
A 12.2
SOT/game
8.52
Corners/game
8.59
H 4.8
A 3.8
Results split
38% HW
27% D
36% AW
Under 2.5 goals
50%
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